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Opta s latest Champions League winning probability: Arsenal ranks first with 19.78%, while Paris and Manchester City rank 2-4

12:09am, 22 October 2025Football

The above is the probability of each team advancing to the top 8, top 4, and finals.

The third round of the UEFA Champions League is about to start. The opta supercomputer has updated the probability of winning the Champions League. Arsenal ranks first, followed by Paris and Manchester City.

opta Champions League winning probability↓

1, Arsenal 19.78%

2, Paris 13.63%

3, Manchester City 11.16%

4, Liverpool 10.79%

5, Bayern 10.53%

6, Real Madrid 6.45%

7, Barcelona 6.10%

8, Chelsea 5.04%

9, Inter Milan 4.48%

10, Newcastle 2.77%

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